![Why We Suck at Probabilities](/content/images/size/w600/2023/05/joe-maldonado-hFSnuPi0t3Q-unsplash.jpg)
Why We Suck at Probabilities
Last week I was giving a talk to a group of startup founders in London. We got onto the theme of success and successful outcomes in life. My point, which I make repeatedly, is that we vastly underestimate the role of randomness and chance in our life decisions, and I quoted Taleb in the discussion: